Future Sight

A Macro view on the economy, markets and business. This is the copyrighted property of Jonathan Rose Company, LLC 2004-2011 it is not in any way associated with Jonathan F.P. Rose or the Jonathan Rose Companies whose website can be found at rose-network.com

50 Basis Points

Posted By jonsyrose on November 24, 2007

With the fed cutting 50 basis points today we have to wonder what the long term effects will be.

  1. The dollar has taken a quick response and devalued further.
  2. Gold is rising in value letting everyone know that the dollar is getting worth less daily. It seems only yesterday that gold sat at $350 instead of the mid to high 700′s.
  3. Countrywide may survive too by slight of hand and balance sheet

Does this mean the real estate problems are resolved? Not at all, now they will get dragged out for longer with no true bottom of the market in sight, everyone will still be shy of CMO’s, ABS’s etc so lending will be lax, but interest rates will be lower for those that can refinance. All the subprime borrowers will still not be able to obtain their refinance. Therefore we should still enter a recession, just a few months later!

Copyright Jonathan Rose 2007 – Creative Commons License


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